While yes, Chaise died in 30 seconds in his peak, that doesn't mean his peak would always die that way. His peak could have a 1/50 chance of that happening, and simply got unlucky. Therefor better to assume he wouldn't pull a 30 second while still possible. Chakra got isolated in STWC09 tons of times but he didn't die. Same 30 seconds is possible for hawkys, especially since his peak is much less than chaise.
My argument is that celestial / rogue / beer / BW would have a much better overall flow to their games, and would coordinate much more than team 1. While yes, team 1 has a superior pool of skill, no one of those players is invincible on their own in a large game. Its very likely they could create there own opportunities to not die early on, and that could win them the match. However team 2 could have much better teamwork, and teamwork in a versus match could end up being a lot more important, depending on isolations / bridge scenarios that could occur. While I will admit I quite obviously have much less known about battlewarriors ability, he was semi famous for good survival on his own - and its possible his allies could do enough to help him out, or they could fail. It goes both ways on this match up, and I think its closer than you think.